Foresight in Government

IAF has been a leader in government foresight since its early work in anticipatory democracy.  IAF championed government foresight for Congress and other public policy decision makers by establishing the Foresight Seminars on Health and Innovation in 1978.  IAF continues today to work across the federal government providing foresight on trends and issues, assisting with direction setting through planning activities, and helping agencies build their capacity to think strategically about the future.  IAF is approved for the General Services Administration federal supply schedule for management consulting, facilitation and training.  IAF also works with state and local governments and communities to identify the conditions and values to create their preferred future.  IAF continues as an advocate for anticipatory democracy translated to today’s communication technologies and social priorities.


Total Fitness for the 21st Century

IAF and the Samueli Institue for Informational Biology facilitated a conference of military and civilian experts to define “total fitness” for the U.S. military.  Read the PDF report.

AMEDD Futures 2039

In 2009, IAF facilitated a group of more than 50 military and civilian personnel from the U.S. Army Medical Department (AMEDD) to develop forecasts for military medicine in the year 2039.  Read an overview of the project and access the report.

Scenarios for the World Health Organization

IAF prepared scenarios for use in the development of the World Health Organization’s 11th General Program of Work, their 10-year strategic plan covering from 2006 through 2015.


Strategic Foresight in the Federal Government: A Survey of Methods, Resources and Institutional Arrangements

This study helps identify approaches and practices for improving Federal foresight efforts and the means for integrating foresight work into strategic planning and decision making. We present the results of semi-structured interviews with people involved with foresight in 19 Federal agencies, and with two non-Federal experts on foresight in government. We discuss where agencies use similar approaches and where their approaches diverge and include particularly insightful quotes from interviewees. We also discuss “broader observations” regarding the state of strategic foresight efforts across the Federal government and how our findings relate to opportunities and challenges to institutionalizing foresight in the Federal government. Click here to learn more and view the study as well as supplemental information.

The Environmental Future: Emerging Challenges and Opportunities for EPA

This report, prepared for the National Council on Environmental Technology and Policy and the Administrator of the EPA, reviews emerging trends and developments important for environmental protection.  It sets out  a foresight framework which divides human activities into six broad themes for analysis.  The report analyzes each of these themes and provides an overview of emerging developments. It also describes the Desired State of the future and the Opportunities for EPA to move forward.  The opportunities are formal recommendations for the EPA Administrator and the Agency’s senior leadership.  The report also identifies several overarching proposals to improve EPA’s ability to anticipate and address emerging environmental challenges. View the full report.

Anticipatory Democracy: People in Politics of the Future

Anticipatory democracy is an approach to problem solving that combines future consciousness with broad-based public participation. In Anticipatory Democracy: People in Politics of the Future, IAF President Clement Bezold assembled the ideas and thinking of leading futurists, professional planners, and future-oriented citizens. They address issues ranging from housing and health care to ecology and technology in settings as diverse as Congress, private corporations, voluntary organizations and urban black communities. Published in 1978 by Random House, now out of print.

Anticipatory Democracy Revisited

In 2006, IAF founder Clem Bezold revisited the concept of “anticipatory democracy” he first studied in the 1970’s.  View the PDF document.