On this page, from the Human Progress and Human Services 2035 project:
- State and local scenarios, slides, and strategy recommendations, including:
- Scenario workshop toolkit so that you may use the national scenarios or any of the state and local scenarios to have your community or organization explore the future, consider implications, and develop recommendations.
- With a three-part webinar series, IAF and Kresge are partnering with American Public Human Services Association (APHSA) and the Alliance for Strong Families and Communities to expand the reach and use of these scenarios.
Human Progress and Human Services 2035 National Report
What is the future of human needs and human progress?
How will human services be provided?
Human services respond to human needs, often shaped by poverty, exclusion, violence and environmental events. Human services typically include services for the aging, children, youth, and families, as well as behavioral health, disability services, housing services, and income supports.
The futures and delivery of these services will be shaped by trends and forces in the economy, employment, automation and other technology, policies, social attitudes and values (particularly equity and inclusion), and environmental conditions – as well as the visions of communities and human service providers.
To develop and explore alternative forecasts for these forces, human needs, and responding human services, IAF has led a national effort – The Human Progress and Human Services 2035 Project – with funding from The Kresge Foundation and the support from leading human service organizations.
Along the way, leaders in the human services community helped develop the Human Services 2035 national scenarios to explore likely, challenging, and visionary paths into the future, consider the implications of each scenario for current directions and strategies, and develop recommendations.
Simultaneously, IAF worked with human service leaders in three cities, three counties and two states who convened human service and community organizations to develop scenarios focused on their communities over the next two decades. Gatherings of community and human service leaders then took part in scenario workshops where they explored implications for current directions and strategies and developed recommendations.
The Human Progress and Human Services 2035 National Report includes the national scenarios and recommendations from a national workshop. These scenarios and recommendations were also influenced by state and local efforts and recommendations.
State and Local Human Services 2035 Efforts
IAF worked with three counties, three cities, and two states to engage their human services community in the development of scenarios that considered the national trends and forecasts as well as their own challenges and opportunities to develop 2035 scenarios.
In each locality, a group of community and human service leaders “stepped into” their scenarios, considered the implications for current goals and strategies, and developed recommendations. The links below take you to the state or local scenarios, accompanying slides which serve as a summary, and scenario workshop reports that include their respective recommendations, next step suggestions, and feedback on the scenario experience.
Using the Human Progress and Human Services 2035 Scenarios in Your Community or Organization: The Tool Kit
Interested in exploring how these scenarios may introduce new ideas, challenge old ideas, and shape future work in your community or organization? You can use the national scenarios or any of the state and local scenarios to have your community or organization explore the future, consider implications, and develop recommendations.
This toolkit allows you to conduct your own scenario workshop to explore alternative futures, and relate these to vision and strategy.
The Human Progress and Human Services 2035 Toolkit includes:
- A polling form for assessing both the likelihood and preferability of the scenarios.
- Sample agendas for half day and full day meetings using the Human Services 2035 scenarios.
- Templates with questions for teams to answer when using the scenarios.
Webinar #1 – Introducing Scenario Planning and the Human Services 2035 Effort
During the first webinar, which aired on February 20, 2019, we introduced the power of futures thinking and how this can benefit your community and organization. The presentation for this session featured:
- Tracy Wareing Evans, President and CEO of APHSA, who will be introducing the webinar series
- David Fukuzawa, Managing Director of the Kresge Foundation’s Health Program, on why Kresge supports this scenario effort
- Susan Dreyfus, CEO and President at the Alliance for Strong Families and Communities, on what scenario planning is and why it is a valuable tool for the human services community
- Clem Bezold, Chairman and Senior Futurist at IAF, on the process and input for this project, including forecasts for some of the key forces that moved the scenarios toward different futures
Webinar #2 – City, County and State Lessons from the Human Services 2035 Effort
During the second webinar, which aired on March 6, 2019, we heard from users of Human Services 2035 Scenarios as they described: their experience and insights, how the effort related to their planning and decision making, key learnings and results from the effort. Presenters shared their perspectives from the city and state level. The presentation for this session featured:
- Richmond, Virginia: Reginald Gordon, Deputy Chief Administrative Officer for Human Services, City of Richmond
- Connecticut: Kathy Brennan, Deputy Commissioner at State Connecticut Department of Social Services
- San Antonio, Texas: Molly Cox, President and CEO, SA2020
Webinar #3 – Stepping into the Human Services 2035 Scenarios
During the third Webinar, which aired March 27, 2019, we “step into” the futures of human services and human progress in the year 2035, exploring the four national scenarios. This session trains participants to think like a futurist and to use the scenarios in their organization or community to enhance their strategic planning, review their vision, and better create their preferred future.
- Thinking like a Futurist – Clem Bezold, Institute for Alternative Futures
- The Human Services 2035 Scenarios – Clem Bezold and Mary Carenbauer, Futurist, Institute for Alternative Futures
- Insights and recommendations from the Human Services 2035 Project – Tracy Wareing Evans, APHSA and Raquel Hatter, managing director of The Kresge Foundation’s Human Services program